Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 0
NTT
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
NTT
2 - 1
ARS
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1924 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
ASV
3 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 2
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |