Arsenal vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
ARS
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
PNE
0 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
ARS
2 - 2
OLD
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
OLD
1 - 1
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
ARS
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
BUR
3 - 1
BOL
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
DER
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
35%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 1
DER
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |