Arsenal vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
MAC
3 - 1
ARS
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
QPR
2 - 1
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
ARS
1 - 2
IPS
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1976 |
ARS
2 - 1
WOL
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
EVE
0 - 0
ARS
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 2
NOT
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 0
OPA
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1976 |
BRO
0 - 0
BRI
39%
30%
32%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
BRI
2 - 2
CHL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
BPO
2 - 1
BRI
44%
28%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |