Arsenal vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 3
ARS
21%
26%
53%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
41%
26%
33%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
ARS
5 - 2
WBA
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
WHU
2 - 2
ARS
24%
26%
50%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
BVB
1 - 1
S04
47%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
RTV
0 - 0
BVB
35%
25%
39%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
CIH
0 - 3
BVB
3%
12%
85%
|
88 | 8 | 80 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
BVB
3 - 1
STU
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 1
BVB
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |