Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 0
ARS
27%
27%
46%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 1
WHU
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
LIV
4 - 1
ARS
39%
27%
34%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
21%
26%
53%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
ASV
0 - 1
ARS
17%
25%
58%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 1
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
WIG
1 - 3
BOL
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
SHE
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
MUD
4 - 1
BOL
71%
18%
10%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 2
BBU
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |