Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
MAC
2 - 4
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
83%
11%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
ARS
5 - 3
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
38%
24%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
SHW
1 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 3
TOT
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
BOL
5 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
BUR
0 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |