Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1951 |
NEW
2 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1951 |
ARS
6 - 3
WBA
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1951 |
MID
0 - 3
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
ARS
4 - 3
FUL
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1951 |
CHA
1 - 3
ARS
53%
23%
25%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 0
BPO
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 1
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 3
OPA
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 3
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1951 |
BOL
2 - 1
HUR
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |