Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
WOL
1 - 3
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 0
SUN
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 3
SHE
67%
17%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
BOL
4 - 0
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1949 |
BPO
1 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 3
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
WOL
2 - 0
BOL
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
BOL
6 - 1
SHE
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |