Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1947 |
ARS
6 - 0
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
SHE
1 - 2
ARS
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1947 |
CHA
2 - 4
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1947 |
BOL
4 - 0
OPA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1947 |
BOL
1 - 2
PNE
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1947 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOL
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1947 |
PNE
1 - 0
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 1
STO
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |