Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
PNE
2 - 1
ARS
48%
25%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1939 |
GRI
2 - 1
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1939 |
ARS
0 - 0
WOL
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 2
HUR
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
BIR
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
MID
1 - 2
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
4 - 0
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |