Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
64%
19%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
PNE
1 - 3
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
BRE
3 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
ARS
0 - 0
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1938 |
ARS
0 - 2
BRE
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
3 - 1
MID
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
LIV
2 - 1
BOL
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
MAC
44%
22%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
1 - 1
OPA
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1938 |
MAC
1 - 2
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |