Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1925 |
WHU
0 - 4
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
NEW
7 - 0
ARS
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
ARS
4 - 1
LEE
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1925 |
ARS
3 - 2
WHU
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
BUR
2 - 2
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 0
WHU
67%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
LEI
5 - 2
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 3
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1925 |
BOL
4 - 2
BUR
69%
18%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
NOT
3 - 0
BOL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |