Arsenal vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
ARS
3 - 1
SHE
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 2
ARS
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
ARS
2 - 2
ASV
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
LIV
4 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
OLD
3 - 1
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
BOL
0 - 3
SHE
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
NEW
5 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |