Arsenal vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
BPO
5 - 3
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
ARS
2 - 1
FUL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1965 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOR
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
ARS
4 - 2
MUD
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
BBU
0 - 1
CHL
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
BUR
1 - 4
BBU
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 2
BBU
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
BBU
0 - 0
SHE
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
LEE
3 - 0
BBU
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |