Arsenal vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
STO
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LEY
1 - 1
ARS
12%
19%
69%
|
93 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
FCB
32%
24%
44%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 0
WOL
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 4
ARS
19%
21%
60%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BIR
3 - 0
SHW
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 0
STO
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
WHU
0 - 1
BIR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
BIR
2 - 2
MAC
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |