Arsenal vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
WBA
0 - 0
ARS
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
ARS
0 - 0
SOU
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
ARS
2 - 1
OXF
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
EVE
6 - 1
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 2
LIV
16%
27%
57%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 0
BIR
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 1
NEW
41%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 0
BIR
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 0
BIR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |