Arsenal vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
BRI
0 - 2
ARS
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 0
QPR
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1977 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
39%
30%
32%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
ARS
3 - 0
WHU
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
BIR
3 - 1
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
IPS
5 - 2
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
BIR
1 - 1
COV
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1977 |
BIR
2 - 1
QPR
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
ASV
0 - 1
BIR
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |