Arsenal vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
ARS
1 - 1
WBA
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
WHU
2 - 1
ARS
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1965 |
NTT
3 - 0
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
BUR
2 - 1
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
CHL
3 - 1
BIR
71%
17%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
STO
2 - 1
BIR
62%
20%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1965 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
BPO
3 - 1
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
BIR
0 - 0
SHW
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |