Arsenal vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1957 |
EVE
2 - 2
ARS
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 1
ARS
58%
20%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
BOL
0 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
ARS
4 - 0
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEE
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
BIR
1 - 5
WOL
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
BIR
4 - 0
MAC
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1957 |
WBA
0 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
SHW
5 - 3
BIR
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 1
PNE
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |