Arsenal vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
BIR
3 - 2
ARS
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 3
SUN
38%
26%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
SUN
3 - 3
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
61%
20%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
BIR
3 - 2
ARS
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
BIR
2 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
CAR
1 - 1
BIR
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |