Arsenal vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 1
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 0
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 2
ARS
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
ARS
3 - 1
NTT
62%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
0 - 2
SUN
64%
18%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
NEW
8 - 0
BIR
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
BBU
1 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
BIR
3 - 4
MUD
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |