Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Arsenal vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
51.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BHA
0 - 3
ARS
21%
23%
56%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
LUT
84%
12%
5%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
12%
|
97 | 100 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
FCP
82%
12%
6%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 1
BRE
76%
15%
9%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 2
BYM
4%
10%
86%
|
99 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BYM
0 - 2
BVB
64%
19%
17%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DAR
2 - 5
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
99 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BYM
8 - 1
M05
84%
11%
5%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
LAZ
82%
12%
6%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |