Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 2-10
Arsenal vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LIV
3 - 1
ARS
31%
24%
46%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
SUT
0 - 2
ARS
7%
15%
78%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BYM
5 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 0
HUL
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHL
3 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
KOL
0 - 3
BYM
6%
16%
78%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BYM
3 - 0
S04
79%
14%
7%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BYM
8 - 0
HSV
85%
11%
4%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
BYM
9%
18%
73%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BYM
5 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |