Champions League Last 16
Global 1-3
Arsenal vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
39%
24%
37%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LIV
5 - 1
ARS
36%
25%
40%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 0
CRY
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 2
ARS
17%
21%
62%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BYM
4 - 0
SCF
86%
10%
4%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
HSV
0 - 5
BYM
5%
13%
82%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FCN
0 - 2
BYM
6%
14%
80%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BYM
5 - 0
EIN
84%
11%
5%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
STU
1 - 2
BYM
7%
15%
79%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |