Champions League Last 16
Global 2-3
Arsenal vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
OPA
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
SHE
0 - 0
ARS
13%
22%
65%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 1
ARS
13%
22%
65%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
BYM
3 - 1
ARS
39%
26%
36%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHE
82%
12%
5%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
BYM
1 - 0
BRE
55%
22%
23%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
SCF
0 - 7
BYM
20%
25%
55%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SCF
0 - 1
BYM
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
BYM
3 - 1
ARS
39%
26%
36%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
BYM
5 - 0
BVB
68%
19%
13%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |