Arsenal vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
25%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
WHU
2 - 2
ARS
17%
22%
62%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 1
ARS
17%
23%
60%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 1
BIR
81%
13%
5%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
0 - 1
AZA
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
AZA
5 - 2
SPA
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 4
AJA
26%
24%
51%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 1
ARS
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 2
AZA
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |