Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Arsenal vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
CRY
0 - 3
ARS
36%
28%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 0
NTT
51%
25%
23%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 1
LEI
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 0
ARS
59%
25%
16%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
SHW
3 - 1
ARS
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1995 |
LIL
0 - 0
AUX
25%
28%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1995 |
AUX
1 - 2
GIR
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
AUX
1 - 1
CAE
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
AUX
3 - 0
CAN
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
AUX
0 - 0
LEN
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |