Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 2
CRY
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BHA
0 - 0
ARS
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 1
TOT
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 0
AFC
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 3
WOL
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOT
2 - 1
ASV
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 1
ASV
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ASV
3 - 0
EVE
30%
25%
45%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |