Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
BUR
2 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
BIR
2 - 2
ARS
47%
22%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
ARS
1 - 3
MUD
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1962 |
ARS
2 - 0
BIR
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
LEY
1 - 2
ARS
32%
25%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
ASV
1 - 1
BPO
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
TOT
4 - 2
ASV
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
MAC
0 - 2
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1962 |
ASV
2 - 1
TOT
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
ASV
3 - 1
WHU
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |