Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
CHL
2 - 3
ARS
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1962 |
ARS
1 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1962 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1962 |
BPO
0 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
BIR
1 - 0
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
ASV
0 - 2
BUR
33%
24%
44%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1962 |
BIR
0 - 2
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1962 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1962 |
TOT
2 - 0
ASV
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1962 |
SHW
3 - 0
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |