Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEE
67%
18%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 2
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
ARS
3 - 1
LEI
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 3
EVE
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
BPO
1 - 0
ARS
53%
21%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
5 - 1
LEI
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 3
WOL
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
BPO
1 - 1
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1957 |
WOL
2 - 1
ASV
77%
13%
9%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 0
LUT
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |