Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
EVE
4 - 0
ARS
42%
24%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
ARS
3 - 1
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
CHA
1 - 3
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
ARS
7 - 3
MAC
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
ARS
1 - 2
MUD
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1956 |
ASV
3 - 1
BIR
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
ASV
3 - 1
NEW
49%
22%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
OPA
5 - 1
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
ASV
0 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
LEE
1 - 0
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |