Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1951 |
MUD
3 - 1
ARS
58%
22%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1951 |
ARS
2 - 5
CHA
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1951 |
WBA
2 - 0
ARS
39%
26%
36%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1951 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1951 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1951 |
ASV
0 - 1
HUR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1951 |
TOT
3 - 2
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1951 |
ASV
0 - 3
BPO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 0
FUL
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |