Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
FUL
2 - 2
ARS
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
CHA
1 - 1
ARS
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
ASV
0 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
ASV
2 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1950 |
MUD
7 - 0
ASV
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
ASV
2 - 1
HUR
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |