Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
SHE
1 - 1
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1948 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
ARS
0 - 1
MUD
60%
21%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
ASV
1 - 1
DER
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1948 |
ASV
2 - 4
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
BPO
1 - 0
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |