Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1936 |
WBA
1 - 0
ARS
47%
22%
31%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1936 |
MID
2 - 2
ARS
44%
22%
34%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1936 |
ARS
4 - 0
WBA
68%
17%
16%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 1
BRE
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1936 |
WOL
2 - 2
ASV
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1936 |
ASV
2 - 2
MAC
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1936 |
ASV
4 - 2
WOL
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
GRI
4 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1936 |
WBA
0 - 3
ASV
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |