Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
BCF
1 - 0
ARS
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
ARS
2 - 0
SHE
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARS
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
ARS
4 - 4
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
NEW
0 - 3
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
ASV
2 - 1
BBU
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 3
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
ASV
2 - 3
DER
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 4
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 5
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |