Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 3
NOT
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1912 |
ARS
5 - 1
BBU
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1912 |
OLD
2 - 2
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
ASV
3 - 1
BRA
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
78%
13%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |