Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1911 |
OLD
3 - 0
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
ARS
3 - 2
NTT
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
BBU
1 - 0
ARS
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 0
BRI
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
SHW
1 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
ASV
4 - 0
TOT
83%
12%
6%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
ASV
3 - 1
NTT
80%
13%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |