Arsenal Tula vs Shinnik Yaroslavl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
10.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GAZ
4 - 1
ARS
52%
23%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 2
TOM
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
TOS
2 - 3
ARS
24%
30%
46%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 3
ARS
10%
22%
68%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
ZEN
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
YAR
4 - 0
ZEN
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
RAD
0 - 2
YAR
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
YAR
1 - 2
FAK
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 0
YAR
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
YAR
0 - 2
KAM
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |