Arsenal Tula vs Rodina Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 1
ARS
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARS
3 - 0
SOK
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SAT
1 - 2
ARS
11%
18%
71%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 1
ARS
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rodina Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FKR
0 - 1
AKT
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PKU
1 - 0
FKR
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 0
KAM
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TEK
1 - 3
FKR
15%
20%
65%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 4
YAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |