Arsenal Tula vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 2
ARS
24%
27%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 0
KAM
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 4
ARS
18%
26%
56%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 1
SIB
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
VNN
1 - 2
ARS
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
FAK
0 - 1
ZEN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
RAD
0 - 2
FAK
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
FAK
2 - 0
TOR
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
FAK
2 - 2
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
KAM
0 - 0
FAK
19%
26%
56%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |