Arsenal Tula Reservas vs Lokomotiv Moskva Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
58%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
UMO
1 - 1
ARS
23%
21%
57%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 2
ARS
13%
18%
69%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
ARS
9 - 0
UMO
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
UFA
2 - 2
ARS
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
ARS
5 - 0
AFY
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
LOK
2 - 2
CHE
86%
9%
4%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
LOK
3 - 0
KRA
33%
25%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
TER
1 - 5
LOK
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LOK
4 - 1
SCH
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 0
LOK
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |