Arsenal Tula II vs Spartak Tambov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
11º
11º
32
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 65 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 33 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 29 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 21 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 20 |
15º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
KPP
0 - 1
ARS
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
KHI
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
ARS
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FKO
2 - 1
ARS
14%
18%
68%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 5
ZEN
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
KPP
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 3
KHI
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
SPA
54%
25%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 1
STR
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |