Arsenal Tula II vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+182%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
TAM
2 - 1
ARS
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 5
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
VYB
2 - 0
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 2
POD
59%
21%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KAL
2 - 1
ARS
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
ORE
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
ORE
0 - 4
TAM
15%
21%
63%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
ORE
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
ORE
0 - 4
VYB
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
3 - 1
ORE
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |