Arsenal Tula II vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 4
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 1
ZVE
56%
22%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
KAL
0 - 1
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 2
ZEN
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
POD
1 - 2
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ORE
0 - 2
VIT
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 0
ORE
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ORE
0 - 1
FCM
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
ORE
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
MET
3 - 0
ORE
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |