Arsenal Tula II vs Kolomna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
11º
11º
11
13º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 63 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 58 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 35 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 32 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
13º
|
64.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 19 |
14º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 15 |
15º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 2
ARS
22%
21%
56%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
KPP
0 - 1
ARS
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
KHI
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
ARS
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kolomna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
SPA
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
KPP
1 - 0
KOL
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 3
KHI
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FDV
3 - 0
KOL
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
STR
32%
23%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |