Arsenal Tula II vs Balashikha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
12º
6º
18
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
DIN
15%
24%
61%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FKO
2 - 1
ARS
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKS
5 - 1
ARS
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Balashikha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 0
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
FKE
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 4
ZNA
36%
22%
41%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 3
FKE
37%
21%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
KOL
5 - 4
BAL
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |