Arsenal Tula II vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
MET
1 - 5
ARS
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
VIT
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 0
ARS
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
ARS
8 - 0
FCM
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
ORE
0 - 4
ARS
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 0
LOK
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 0
POD
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
FCM
1 - 2
AVA
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 3
SOK
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
ZVE
1 - 0
AVA
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |