Arsenal de Sarandí vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 1
ARS
54%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAU
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
ARS
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 3
GOD
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LAN
3 - 0
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
CDC
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIL
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
SDM
69%
21%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
GER
1 - 0
VIL
21%
30%
49%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
CIP
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |